How much revenue did Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash make?

$498k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash sell?

Q: How many copies did Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash sell?

40k to 65k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 40k–65k; $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–7.3M

best case 12.1M (People Playground)

Games like Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash

A typical game among these

≈ 4.6M–7.3M copies

≈ $22.6M–$46.0M after Steam's cut

from ~149k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (2 of 8) and Bullet Hell (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015	Est. copies ≈ 309k–501k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	6k reviews Mostly Negative	MultiplayerFPS
Broforce 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	61k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AmericaAction
Realm of the Mad God Exalt 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	48k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Trove 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	93k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayOpen World
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	267k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell