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How many copies did Dethroned sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
from 46 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dethroned and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dethroned's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 895k–2.9M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Dethroned

A typical game among these

≈ 895k–2.9M copies

≈ $6.0M–$33.9M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 41k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Horror + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
RPGPost-apocalyptic
Wartales
2023
Est. copies
≈ 899k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
EVE Online
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceFree to Play
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 464k–755k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDriving
Insurgency: Sandstorm
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.4M–$89.9M after Steam's cut $60.8M–$138.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
Gray Zone Warfare
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.1M after Steam's cut $39.3M–$89.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
79k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessOnline Co-Op

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