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How many copies did Insurgency: Sandstorm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
$33.4M–$89.9M after Steam's cut $60.8M–$138.3M before Steam's cut
from 133k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Insurgency: Sandstorm and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Insurgency: Sandstorm's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34.9M–99.7M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Insurgency: Sandstorm

A typical game among these

≈ 34.9M–99.7M copies

≈ $506.3M–$707.8M after Steam's cut

from ~923k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (5 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Team-Based + Competitive + e-sports; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Ready or Not
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
347k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalRealistic
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.