How much revenue did Ascension make?

$368k–$990k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ascension sell?

Q: How many copies did Ascension sell?

67k to 109k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 67k–109k; $368k–$990k after Steam's cut $670k–$1.5M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ascension and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ascension's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–131k

best case 20.7M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)

Games like Ascension

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–131k copies

≈ $494k–$761k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies, ≈ $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 483 to 12k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8) and 4X (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Historical, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Grand Strategy + Multiplayer + Historical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M 142x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	380k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
The Battle of Polytopia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 149k–242k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $615k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based
Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville 2015	Est. copies ≈ 100k–163k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $750k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Colony Sim Survival
As Far As The Eye 2020	Est. copies ≈ 53k–86k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $363k–$975k after Steam's cut $659k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyBuilding
Slipways 2021	Est. copies ≈ 57k–93k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $268k–$720k after Steam's cut $487k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$16.99	2k reviews Very Positive	StrategyPuzzle
HUMANKIND™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 715k–1.2M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.7M before Steam's cut	$49.99	29k reviews Mixed	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Pixel Starships 2023	Est. copies ≈ 75k–122k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Sci-fiSpace
Three Kingdoms The Last Warlord 2021	Est. copies ≈ 98k–160k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $108k–$290k after Steam's cut $196k–$446k before Steam's cut	$3.99	4k reviews Mixed	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy