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How many copies did HUMANKIND™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 715k–1.2M
$9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.7M before Steam's cut
from 29k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HUMANKIND™ and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including HUMANKIND™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–13.8M
best case 20.7M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)
Games like HUMANKIND™

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–13.8M copies

≈ $54.8M–$202.8M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies, ≈ $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (5 of 6) and Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2025, and 1 of the 6 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sid Meier's Civilization VII
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
62k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyHistorical
Sid Meier's Civilization® V
2010
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.7M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut $199.9M–$454.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
211k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
ENDLESS Space™ 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 795k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySpace
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
380k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: WARHAMMER
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
52k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFantasy
Rome: Total War™ - Collection
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical

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