How much revenue did ARC SEED make?

$10k–$27k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ARC SEED sell?

Q: How many copies did ARC SEED sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 99 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut; from 99 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ARC SEED and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARC SEED's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 196k–450k

best case 636k (Mechabellum)

Games like ARC SEED

A typical game among these

≈ 196k–450k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Mechs (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mechabellum at ≈ 485k–788k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Mechs (4 of 8) and Robots (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mechs + Auto Battler, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
M.A.S.S. Builder 2025	Est. copies ≈ 102k–166k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $703k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction RPG
AirMech 2018	Est. copies ≈ 330k–537k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Stormgate 2025	Est. copies ≈ 230k–374k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Mixed	Early AccessRTS
Scythe: Digital Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 116k–189k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $638k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Board GameStrategy
CryoFall 2021	Est. copies ≈ 161k–261k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Mostly Positive	Colony SimCrafting
Legion TD 2 - Multiplayer Tower Defense 2021	Est. copies ≈ 380k–617k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Tower DefenseMultiplayer
Mechabellum 2024	Est. copies ≈ 485k–788k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	20k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMechs
Airships: Conquer the Skies 2018	Est. copies ≈ 201k–327k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Vehicular Combat4X