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How many copies did Real Dive World sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
from 87 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Real Dive World and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Real Dive World's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–62k
best case 152k (Seek Girl:Fog Ⅰ)
Games like Real Dive World

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–62k copies

≈ $135k–$292k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Seek Girl:Fog Ⅰ at ≈ 116k–188k copies, ≈ $127k–$341k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 370 reviews in their first month; the range was 183 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Nudity (8 of 8) and Sexual Content (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry FPS + Multiple Endings + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sakura Dungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$438k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $796k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
The Heiress
2017
Est. copies
≈ 53k–87k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Killing Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 40k–66k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
NuditySexual Content
Lost2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$158k–$425k after Steam's cut $288k–$655k before Steam's cut
$15.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Seek Girl:Fog Ⅰ
2020
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$127k–$341k after Steam's cut $231k–$525k before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Nightmare Knight ~Sacred Maiden & Fallen Magic~
2024
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$73k–$197k after Steam's cut $133k–$302k before Steam's cut
$17.99
596 reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Lilitales
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$103k–$278k after Steam's cut $188k–$428k before Steam's cut
$19.99
653 reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentRPG
Rolling in the Maze
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$1.99
538 reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentMature

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.