How much revenue did Shadow BoXR make?

$953–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shadow BoXR sell?

Q: How many copies did Shadow BoXR sell?

347 to 564 copies, based on its 14 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 347–564; $953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shadow BoXR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow BoXR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 108k–222k

best case 289k (McOsu)

Games like Shadow BoXR

A typical game among these

≈ 108k–222k copies

≈ $624k–$683k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: McOsu at ≈ 220k–358k copies.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 18 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Boxing (7 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rhythm + Anime.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
McOsu 2017	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Very Positive	RhythmFree to Play
Boom Dojo 2021	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$9.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	ActionSports
Hitstream 2022	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$19.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	CasualRhythm
TrainingTiles 2024	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut	$9.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	SimulationSports
Box To The Beat VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut	$19.99	67 reviews Very Positive	VRRhythm
BOXVR 2019	Est. copies ≈ 47k–76k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	SportsIndie
The Thrill of the Fight - VR Boxing 2019	Est. copies ≈ 117k–191k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $323k–$868k after Steam's cut $587k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRSports
BoomXR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 273–443 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	11 reviews Positive	ActionSports