How much revenue did The Phoenix Initiative make?

$491–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Phoenix Initiative sell?

Q: How many copies did The Phoenix Initiative sell?

298 to 484 copies, based on its 12 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 298–484; $491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut; from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Phoenix Initiative and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Phoenix Initiative's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 838–11k

best case 30k (Section 13)

Games like The Phoenix Initiative

A typical game among these

≈ 838–11k copies

≈ $3k–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~79 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Section 13 at ≈ 23k–37k copies, ≈ $125k–$335k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 764 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Top-Down Shooter (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dark + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Keyboard Warrior: Dreamstate 2022	Est. copies ≈ 347–564 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $667–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$6.99	14 reviews Positive	Action RoguelikeArtificial Intelligence
Sniper Ships: Shoot'em Up on Rails 2021	Est. copies ≈ 694–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$4.99	28 reviews Positive	On-Rails ShooterShoot 'Em Up
Section 13 2025	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $125k–$335k after Steam's cut $227k–$516k before Steam's cut	$19.99	915 reviews Mostly Positive	DarkTop-Down Shooter
Dead 2018	Est. copies ≈ 8k–14k 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$4.99	278 reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie
Gravitators 2021	Est. copies ≈ 719–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$9.99	29 reviews Positive	Top-Down ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
Crimson Dawn 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut	$3.99	382 reviews Mixed	RPGAction
Heartless Dark 2021	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$11.99	19 reviews Positive	Action RoguelikeTop-Down Shooter
I See Red 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut	$9.99	129 reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerTwin Stick Shooter