How much revenue did Casino Heist make?

$490–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Casino Heist sell?

Q: How many copies did Casino Heist sell?

223 to 363 copies, based on its 9 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 223–363; $490–$1k after Steam's cut $891–$2k before Steam's cut; from 9 reviews (9 user reviews); Only 9 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Casino Heist and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Casino Heist's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–7.5M

best case 10.3M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)

Games like Casino Heist

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–7.5M copies

≈ $63.2M–$92.0M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 14k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dating Sim (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Late photographer 3 2022	Est. copies ≈ 918–1k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$4.99	37 reviews Mixed	Female ProtagonistSexual Content
Doki Doki Literature Club! 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	229k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
Space Bar at the End of the Galaxy 2020	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $646–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	19 reviews Mixed	NSFWNudity
Sol Dorado Heist 2021	Est. copies ≈ 322–524 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	13 reviews Mixed	SimulationHeist
Ninki Seiyuu: How to Make a Pop Voice Actress 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$263k before Steam's cut	$39.99	233 reviews Very Positive	Multiple EndingsDating Sim
Casino Heist: Aruba 2025	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $306–$826 after Steam's cut $557–$1k before Steam's cut	$8.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	Simulation Visual Novel