How much revenue did Casino Heist: Aruba make?

$306–$826 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Casino Heist: Aruba sell?

Q: How many copies did Casino Heist: Aruba sell?

124 to 202 copies, based on its 5 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 124–202; $306–$826 after Steam's cut $557–$1k before Steam's cut; from 5 reviews (5 user reviews); Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Casino Heist: Aruba and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Casino Heist: Aruba's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 391–2.3M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like Casino Heist: Aruba

A typical game among these

≈ 391–2.3M copies

≈ $883–$18.0M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 38k reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Heist (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 29x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Casino Heist 2023	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $490–$1k after Steam's cut $891–$2k before Steam's cut	$7.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	Visual NovelHeist
Sol Dorado Heist 2021	Est. copies ≈ 322–524 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	13 reviews Mixed	SimulationHeist
Teardown 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DestructionPhysics
The Warmth Between Us 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut	$6.99	178 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelEmotional
Lift: The Last Days of The Westwind 2024	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $179–$479 after Steam's cut $325–$737 before Steam's cut	$12.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	VRChoose Your Own Adventure