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How many copies did The Warmth Between Us sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
from 178 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Warmth Between Us and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Warmth Between Us's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30k–198k
best case 635k (Until Then)
Games like The Warmth Between Us

A typical game among these

≈ 30k–198k copies

≈ $613k–$2.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Until Then at ≈ 484k–786k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 857 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Emotional (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Emotional, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
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AdventureVisual Novel
Fate/stay night REMASTERED
2024
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
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Visual NovelAnime
Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$161k–$434k after Steam's cut $293k–$667k before Steam's cut
$24.98
947 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 235k–382k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelEmotional
Until Then
2024
Est. copies
≈ 484k–786k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelPixel Graphics
GINKA
2023
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$22.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Guilt Free
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Very Positive
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Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World-
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$220k–$591k after Steam's cut $400k–$909k before Steam's cut
$39.99
806 reviews
Very Positive

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