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How big is Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 9k–15k
from 371 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4 and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 6k (This Way Madness Lies)
Games like Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $4k–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~75 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 6 similar games are hits.

Best case: This Way Madness Lies at ≈ 5k–8k copies, ≈ $13k–$35k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 64.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (6 of 6) and Turn-Based Combat (6 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Comedy, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of the 6 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$9.99
82 reviews
Very Positive
Case 02: Paranormal Evil
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$5.99
52 reviews
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JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Loser Reborn
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Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
$5.99
75 reviews
Very Positive
RPGMakerLovecraftian
Skautfold: Knight's End
2021
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$9.99
26 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGJRPG
This Way Madness Lies
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$9.99
191 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Feline Realms - The Ancients' Legacy
2025
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$111 after Steam's cut $75–$170 before Steam's cut
$2.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
JRPGFunny

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