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How many copies did Loser Reborn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 75 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Loser Reborn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Loser Reborn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–109k
best case 587k (Tales of the Black Forest)
Games like Loser Reborn

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–109k copies

≈ $6k–$258k after Steam's cut

from ~271 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tales of the Black Forest at ≈ 447k–726k copies, ≈ $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 68.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (7 of 8) and Lovecraftian (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RPGMaker + Horror, priced around $4.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
371 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Cthulhu Saves the World
2011
Est. copies
≈ 220k–357k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$181k–$486k after Steam's cut $329k–$748k before Steam's cut
$2.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGLovecraftian
Tales of the Black Forest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 447k–726k
57x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGRPGMaker
Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
598 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGLovecraftian
Case 02: Paranormal Evil
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$5.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Evening Starter
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$17k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$72k before Steam's cut
$14.99
170 reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
[Neolithic]To the End
2021
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$6.99
31 reviews
Positive
Early AccessModern
Frail Hearts: Versicorae Domlion
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$9.99
82 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.