How many copies did Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3 sell?

38k to 61k copies, based on its 598 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3 make?

Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3 is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 38k–61k; from 598 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 238k–557k

best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)

Games like Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3

A typical game among these

≈ 238k–557k copies

≈ $1.4M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 521 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Anime (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry JRPG + Anime + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Chrono Jotter 2021	Est. copies ≈ 57k–92k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $186k–$501k after Steam's cut $339k–$771k before Steam's cut	$11.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelIndie
The Vanishing of Ethan Carter 2014	Est. copies ≈ 503k–818k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	MysteryAtmospheric
The Darkside Detective 2017	Est. copies ≈ 181k–294k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $746k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Point & ClickDetective
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 9.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
Call of Cthulhu® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 424k–690k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	LovecraftianHorror
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 384k–625k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Creature CollectorJRPG