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How many copies did Frail Hearts: Versicorae Domlion sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
from 82 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frail Hearts: Versicorae Domlion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frail Hearts: Versicorae Domlion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–15k
best case 2.1M (Persona 3 Reload)
Games like Frail Hearts: Versicorae Domlion

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–15k copies

≈ $39k–$92k after Steam's cut

from ~312 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 3 Reload at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 88 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 14k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and JRPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + JRPG, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Party-Based RPG + RPG + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 3 Portable
2023
Est. copies
≈ 143k–233k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
208x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Mato Anomalies
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$88k before Steam's cut
$14.99
207 reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeDetective
Grisaia Phantom Trigger Vol.1
2017
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$50k–$134k after Steam's cut $90k–$206k before Steam's cut
$14.99
351 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelCasual
Corpse Party: Book of Shadows
2018
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$65k–$176k after Steam's cut $119k–$271k before Steam's cut
$14.99
522 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
Seventh Lair
2022
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut
$7.99
420 reviews
Very Positive
Kowloon's Curse: Lost Report
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
272 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG
PARASiTE FLOWER
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$2.99
260 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGJRPG

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