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How many copies did Persona 3 Portable sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 143k–233k
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Persona 3 Portable and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Persona 3 Portable's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.3M
best case 9.1M (Clair Obscur: Expedition 33)
Games like Persona 3 Portable

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–3.3M copies

≈ $13.6M–$55.3M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
279k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
FINAL FANTASY® XIII
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before Steam's cut
$15.99
20k reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGRPG
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 986k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.9M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Yakuza: Like a Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG

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