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How many copies did FINAL FANTASY® XIII sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before Steam's cut
from 20k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FINAL FANTASY® XIII and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FINAL FANTASY® XIII's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–7.5M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like FINAL FANTASY® XIII

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–7.5M copies

≈ $22.9M–$124.4M after Steam's cut

from ~85k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Fantasy (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (4 of 8) and JRPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Granblue Fantasy: Relink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
279k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.4M after Steam's cut $30.7M–$69.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World

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