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How many copies did Castlewatch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$176–$475 after Steam's cut $320–$730 before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Castlewatch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Castlewatch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 90–179
best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)
Games like Castlewatch

A typical game among these

≈ 90–179 copies

≈ $163–$753 after Steam's cut

from ~4 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 171k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (8 of 8) and Magic (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fantasy, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + 2D + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kingdom Rush - Tower Defense
2014
Est. copies
≈ 986k–1.6M
4403x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
93628x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
Last Stand: Defense
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
33x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$5.99
131 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense
Mages Defense
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
$11.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
AdventureStrategy
Spellcaster
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
$2.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionShoot 'Em Up
Eternal Elements
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58–94
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$160–$427 after Steam's cut $290–$657 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
StrategyDifficult
Another Reigny Day
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
$0.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
The Last Defense
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$109–$293 after Steam's cut $198–$450 before Steam's cut
$3.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.