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How many copies did The Last Defense sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$109–$293 after Steam's cut $198–$450 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last Defense and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 244–3k
best case 37k (Affogato)
Games like The Last Defense

A typical game among these

≈ 244–3k copies

≈ $704–$12k after Steam's cut

from ~19 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Affogato at ≈ 28k–46k copies, ≈ $132k–$356k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 669 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (8 of 8) and Female Protagonist (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + JRPG, priced around $17.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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9.7x vs typical
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Card BattlerStrategy
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62x vs typical
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$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
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6 user reviews
AdventureStrategy
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StrategyTactical RPG
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Side ScrollerTower Defense
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.