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How many copies did Angry Video Game Nerd Adventures sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 200k–326k
$275k–$739k after Steam's cut $500k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Angry Video Game Nerd Adventures and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Angry Video Game Nerd Adventures's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–3.7M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like Angry Video Game Nerd Adventures

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–3.7M copies

≈ $14.8M–$21.7M after Steam's cut

from ~50k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Party Game + Battle Royale + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Duck Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Hi-Fi RUSH
2023
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmAction
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer

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