How many copies did Pinball Arcade sell?

264k to 429k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Pinball Arcade make?

Pinball Arcade is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Pinball Arcade?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 264k–429k; from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pinball Arcade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pinball Arcade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–21k

best case 246k (Pinball FX Classic)

Games like Pinball Arcade

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–21k copies

≈ $62k–$129k after Steam's cut

from ~308 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pinball FX Classic at ≈ 187k–304k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 209 reviews in their first month; the range was 102 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Pinball (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Pinball. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Action + Sports; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pro Pinball Ultra 2016	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut	$14.99	327 reviews Very Positive	SimulationPinball
Stern Pinball Arcade 2016	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	289 reviews Mostly Negative	CasualSimulation
Star Wars™ Pinball VR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $34k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$139k before Steam's cut	$24.99	197 reviews Mixed	SimulationPinball
Worms Pinball 2011	Est. copies ≈ 33k–54k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $73k–$196k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before Steam's cut	$7.99	524 reviews Mixed	PinballCasual
Pinball Wicked 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut	$7.99	238 reviews Very Positive	CasualIndie
Zaccaria Pinball 2025	Est. copies ≈ 57k–93k 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Pinball FX Classic VR 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before Steam's cut	$14.99	409 reviews Very Positive	PinballVR
Pinball FX Classic 2017	Est. copies ≈ 187k–304k 18x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	PinballFree to Play