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How big is Stern Pinball Arcade?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 12k–20k
from 289 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stern Pinball Arcade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stern Pinball Arcade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–22k
best case 246k (Pinball FX Classic)
Games like Stern Pinball Arcade

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–22k copies

≈ $62k–$129k after Steam's cut

from ~327 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pinball FX Classic at ≈ 187k–304k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 209 reviews in their first month; the range was 102 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Pinball (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Pinball + Simulation. The breakout hits carry Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pro Pinball Ultra
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut
$14.99
327 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationPinball
Worms Pinball
2011
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$73k–$196k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before Steam's cut
$7.99
524 reviews
Mixed
PinballCasual
Pinball FX Classic
2017
Est. copies
≈ 187k–304k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
PinballFree to Play
Pinball Arcade
2013
Est. copies
≈ 264k–429k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
PinballFree to Play
Pinball Wicked
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$7.99
238 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Pinball FX Classic VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before Steam's cut
$14.99
409 reviews
Very Positive
PinballVR
Star Wars™ Pinball VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$139k before Steam's cut
$24.99
197 reviews
Mixed
SimulationPinball
Zaccaria Pinball
2025
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation

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