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How many copies did Castlevania: Lords of Shadow 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 365k–593k
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.6M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Castlevania: Lords of Shadow 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Castlevania: Lords of Shadow 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 862k–2.9M
best case 5.0M (Resident Evil Village)
Games like Castlevania: Lords of Shadow 2

A typical game among these

≈ 862k–2.9M copies

≈ $9.5M–$56.3M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil Village at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Vampire (5 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival Horror + Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vampyr
2018
Est. copies
≈ 772k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut $15.4M–$35.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
25k reviews
Mostly Positive
VampireRPG
V Rising
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$32.8M–$88.2M after Steam's cut $59.6M–$135.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines
2007
Est. copies
≈ 973k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
RPGVampire
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 660k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
CODE VEIN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.0M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeAnime
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing
2013
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
RPGHack and Slash
Evil West
2022
Est. copies
≈ 339k–551k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
WesternBeat 'em up

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