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How many copies did Evil West sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 339k–551k
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
from 14k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Evil West and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evil West's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32k–73k
best case 713k (Red Dead Redemption)
Games like Evil West

A typical game among these

≈ 32k–73k copies

≈ $215k–$584k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Red Dead Redemption at ≈ 543k–883k copies, ≈ $7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 363 reviews in their first month; the range was 135 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (5 of 8) and Western (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Western, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Zombies + Third-Person Shooter + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 115k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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NinjaSci-fi
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Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
1.6x vs typical
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 543k–883k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Open WorldWestern
Tumbleweed Destiny
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ClickerRogue-lite
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1.8x vs typical
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RPGTurn-Based Strategy

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