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How many copies did Oddworld: Stranger's Wrath HD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 115k–188k
$317k–$853k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oddworld: Stranger's Wrath HD and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Oddworld: Stranger's Wrath HD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–12.7M
best case 34.9M (Red Dead Redemption 2)
Games like Oddworld: Stranger's Wrath HD

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–12.7M copies

≈ $14.7M–$68.3M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Red Dead Redemption 2 at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies, ≈ $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Western (6 of 7) and Open World (4 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Red Dead Redemption
2024
Est. copies
≈ 543k–883k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldWestern
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Red Dead Online
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Call of Juarez: Gunslinger
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
WesternFPS
Fistful of Frags
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
PvPArena Shooter
Desperados III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy

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