How much revenue did Arco make?

$316k–$850k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arco sell?

Q: How many copies did Arco sell?

57k to 93k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 57k–93k; $316k–$850k after Steam's cut $575k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arco and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arco's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30k–133k

best case 324k (Terra Invicta)

Games like Arco

A typical game among these

≈ 30k–133k copies

≈ $232k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action-Adventure (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Terra Invicta at ≈ 247k–401k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 779 reviews in their first month; the range was 38 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action-Adventure (4 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Grand Strategy, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SteamWorld Heist II 2024	Est. copies ≈ 62k–101k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $929k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Very Positive	FunnySingleplayer
Crown Trick 2020	Est. copies ≈ 134k–217k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
SKALD: Against the Black Priory 2024	Est. copies ≈ 91k–147k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $374k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $680k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategySingleplayer
Worldless 2023	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $237k–$636k after Steam's cut $430k–$978k before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ColorfulRPG
Jagged Alliance: Rage! 2018	Est. copies ≈ 15k–25k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $85k–$227k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut	$19.99	506 reviews Mixed	StrategyAction-Adventure
Terra Invicta 2026	Est. copies ≈ 247k–401k 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	10k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Iron Danger 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $139k–$374k after Steam's cut $253k–$576k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Puzzle Turn-Based Tactics
Suits: Absolute Power 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut	$4.99	230 reviews Very Positive	Story RichRPG