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How many copies did SKALD: Against the Black Priory sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91k–147k
$374k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $680k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SKALD: Against the Black Priory and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SKALD: Against the Black Priory's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 790k–993k
best case 2.2M (SUPERHOT)
Games like SKALD: Against the Black Priory

A typical game among these

≈ 790k–993k copies

≈ $3.7M–$5.3M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SUPERHOT at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and City Builder (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Bullet Time, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.