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How many copies did Iron Danger sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$139k–$374k after Steam's cut $253k–$576k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Iron Danger and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Iron Danger's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 121k–522k
best case 965k (Dorfromantik)
Games like Iron Danger

A typical game among these

≈ 121k–522k copies

≈ $1.0M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dorfromantik at ≈ 735k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 779 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + City Builder, priced around $14.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
SteamWorld Heist II
2024
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $929k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
FunnySingleplayer
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Cureocity
2024
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieCute
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
2011
Est. copies
≈ 164k–266k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyPuzzle
Tactical Breach Wizards
2024
Est. copies
≈ 303k–492k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Carcassonne - Tiles & Tactics
2017
Est. copies
≈ 97k–157k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$265k–$713k after Steam's cut $482k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameStrategy

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