How much revenue did Cabernet make?

$324k–$871k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cabernet sell?

Q: How many copies did Cabernet sell?

59k to 96k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 59k–96k; $324k–$871k after Steam's cut $589k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cabernet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cabernet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 110k–167k

best case 1.3M (Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines)

Games like Cabernet

A typical game among these

≈ 110k–167k copies

≈ $598k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action-Adventure (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines at ≈ 973k–1.6M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 953 reviews in their first month; the range was 420 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action-Adventure (3 of 8) and Female Protagonist (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Vampire + Cult Classic, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Cult Classic + Supernatural + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
AKIBA'S TRIP: Undead ＆ Undressed 2015	Est. copies ≈ 167k–271k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $918k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AnimeNudity
Castlevania Dominus Collection 2024	Est. copies ≈ 69k–111k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $471k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $857k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaAction
Redfall 2023	Est. copies ≈ 117k–190k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Mostly Negative	Open WorldCo-op
Blood Code 2015	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $271k–$729k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Visual NovelRomance
BloodRayne: Terminal Cut 2020	Est. copies ≈ 48k–78k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $199k–$534k after Steam's cut $361k–$821k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionFemale Protagonist
Bloodstained: Curse of the Moon 2018	Est. copies ≈ 137k–223k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $378k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $687k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ActionPixel Graphics
Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines 2007	Est. copies ≈ 973k–1.6M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Very Positive	RPGVampire
Disciples: Liberation 2021	Est. copies ≈ 99k–161k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGStrategy