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How many copies did Disciples: Liberation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99k–161k
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Disciples: Liberation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Disciples: Liberation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–5.4M
best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like Disciples: Liberation

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–5.4M copies

≈ $28.9M–$94.0M after Steam's cut

from ~93k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Fantasy (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 29k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 268k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (4 of 8) and Grand Strategy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + Story Rich + Dungeons & Dragons; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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