How much revenue did Fly Wheel make?

$217–$584 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fly Wheel sell?

Q: How many copies did Fly Wheel sell?

397 to 645 copies, based on its 16 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 397–645; $217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$898 before Steam's cut; from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fly Wheel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fly Wheel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 276–2k

best case 5.3M (Robocraft)

Games like Fly Wheel

A typical game among these

≈ 276–2k copies

≈ $330–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~13 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Robocraft at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 31k reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Physics (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Building, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Building + Free to Play + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Robocraft 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 9026x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	117k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayRobots
Besiege 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 4103x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationSandbox
SaberStyle 2022	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $409–$1k after Steam's cut $743–$2k before Steam's cut	$5.99	10 reviews Mixed	ActionMartial Arts
Hard Steel 2021	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $326–$878 after Steam's cut $593–$1k before Steam's cut	$5.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	ActionBeat 'em up
AI Drone Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k 17x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut	$14.99	222 reviews Very Positive	SimulationFlight
Inside Soccer 2021	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $109–$293 after Steam's cut $198–$450 before Steam's cut	$3.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	CasualArcade
Battle RC 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut	$4.99	94 reviews Very Positive	RobotsCombat Racing
Drone Strike: Engineer Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $130–$349 after Steam's cut $236–$537 before Steam's cut	$1.19	16 reviews Positive	Early AccessFlight