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How many copies did Pogo3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
from 130 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pogo3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pogo3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 40k–149k
best case 233k (Hot Lava)
Games like Pogo3D

A typical game among these

≈ 40k–149k copies

≈ $113k–$986k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hot Lava at ≈ 178k–289k copies, ≈ $977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 288 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 619.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and 3D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + 3D Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $955k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
Hot Lava
2019
Est. copies
≈ 178k–289k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Escape This
2016
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$41k–$109k after Steam's cut $74k–$168k before Steam's cut
$4.99
710 reviews
Mixed
Precision PlatformerPerma Death
Only Climb: Better Together
2023
Est. copies
≈ 86k–139k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Rolled Out!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$61k–$163k after Steam's cut $110k–$250k before Steam's cut
$19.99
444 reviews
Very Positive
I Am Fish
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$544k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $989k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureSimulation
BETON BRUTAL
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$256k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerPrecision Platformer
Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$9.99
43 reviews
Positive

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