How much revenue did State of Decay make?

State of Decay is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did State of Decay sell?

Q: How many copies did State of Decay sell?

1.1M to 1.8M copies, based on its 17k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.8M; from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid State of Decay and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including State of Decay's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.4M–20.9M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like State of Decay

A typical game among these

≈ 6.4M–20.9M copies

≈ $119.0M–$294.6M after Steam's cut

from ~311k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 93k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.3M–23.2M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	470k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Z1 Battle Royale 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6.2M–10.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	202k reviews Mixed	SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
SCUM 2025	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $39.0M–$104.9M after Steam's cut $70.9M–$161.4M before Steam's cut	$44.99	127k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Days Gone 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	117k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldZombies
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.5M–49.6M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	483k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies