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How many copies did LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$177k–$476k after Steam's cut $322k–$732k before Steam's cut
from 649 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LEGO® Horizon Adventures™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 404k–443k
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like LEGO® Horizon Adventures™

A typical game among these

≈ 404k–443k copies

≈ $3.1M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $42. The breakout hits carry Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
66x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
38x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
LEGO® STAR WARS™: The Force Awakens
2016
Est. copies
≈ 294k–477k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOAdventure
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
LEGO® Marvel Super Heroes 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 354k–575k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOMultiplayer
LEGO® Pirates of the Caribbean: The Video Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOAdventure
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure

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