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How many copies did FRACT OSC sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–56k
$142k–$382k after Steam's cut $258k–$587k before Steam's cut
from 615 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FRACT OSC and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FRACT OSC's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25k–107k
best case 413k (TOEM: A Photo Adventure)
Games like FRACT OSC

A typical game among these

≈ 25k–107k copies

≈ $167k–$840k after Steam's cut

from ~995 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: TOEM: A Photo Adventure at ≈ 315k–512k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 195 reviews in their first month; the range was 111 to 358.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cozy + Wholesome, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Unfinished Swan
2020
Est. copies
≈ 51k–82k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$208k–$560k after Steam's cut $379k–$862k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
TOEM: A Photo Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CozyWholesome
The Norwood Suite
2017
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$122k–$329k after Steam's cut $222k–$505k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonExploration
In Sound Mind
2021
Est. copies
≈ 174k–283k
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
The Music Machine
2015
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before Steam's cut
$4.99
615 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Songbird Symphony
2019
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$94k–$252k after Steam's cut $171k–$388k before Steam's cut
$16.99
697 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Wattam
2020
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$338k before Steam's cut
$19.99
600 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Slice of Sea
2021
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$440k before Steam's cut
$24.99
624 reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.