How much revenue did Watch_Dogs™ make?

$16.5M–$44.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Watch_Dogs™ sell?

Q: How many copies did Watch_Dogs™ sell?

3.0M to 4.9M copies, based on its 54k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.0M–4.9M; $16.5M–$44.3M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.2M before Steam's cut; from 54k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Watch_Dogs™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Watch_Dogs™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–57.5M

best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)

Games like Watch_Dogs™

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–57.5M copies

≈ $59.3M–$610.1M after Steam's cut

from ~103k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 25 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 2k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Hacking (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Watch Dogs®: Legion 2023	Est. copies ≈ 314k–510k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut	$59.99	13k reviews Mixed	ActionOpen World
APB Reloaded 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	38k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayOpen World
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M 20x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.8M–71.2M 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	898k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Watch_Dogs® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.1M–$158.9M after Steam's cut $107.5M–$244.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldHacking
Lilith Odyssey 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut	$19.99	65 reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalAdventure
Beyond the Fringe 2024	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut	$9.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	SingleplayerExploration
The Alpha 001 2021	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut	$2.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	SandboxAdventure