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How big is APB Reloaded?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
from 38k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid APB Reloaded and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including APB Reloaded's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.5M
best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)
Games like APB Reloaded

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.5M copies

≈ $19.8M–$25.9M after Steam's cut

from ~69k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 7) and Co-op (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Exploration + RPG + Post-apocalyptic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Red Dead Online
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer
Saints Row: The Third
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldAction
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.1M after Steam's cut $35.9M–$81.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
48k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Far Cry® New Dawn
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.1M–$30.0M after Steam's cut $20.3M–$46.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
35k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldFPS

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