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How many copies did Saints Row: The Third sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
from 70k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Saints Row: The Third and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Saints Row: The Third's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.7M–28.9M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Saints Row: The Third

A typical game among these

≈ 10.7M–28.9M copies

≈ $113.6M–$518.9M after Steam's cut

from ~291k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Borderlands 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
RPGLooter Shooter
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Borderlands 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
313k reviews
Very Positive
LootShooter
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.