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How big is SMITE 2?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 596k–968k
from 24k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SMITE 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SMITE 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–6.4M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like SMITE 2

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–6.4M copies

≈ $39.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut

from ~98k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mythology (5 of 8) and Third Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Action RPG + Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Clan of Death
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16 reviews
Positive
MythologyCasual
God of War Ragnarök
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological
God of War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
185k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionSingleplayer
SMITE®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMOBA
Demigod
2011
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$229k–$615k after Steam's cut $416k–$946k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Real Time TacticsMOBA
Final Stand: Ragnarök
2021
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25 reviews
Mixed
ActionHack and Slash

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