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How many copies did Karen The Chicken sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$367–$986 after Steam's cut $667–$2k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Karen The Chicken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Karen The Chicken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 375–993
best case 1k (3D PUZZLE - Farm House)
Games like Karen The Chicken

A typical game among these

≈ 375–993 copies

≈ $301–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~18 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 3D PUZZLE - Farm House at ≈ 1k–2k copies, ≈ $60k–$161k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 15 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medical Sim + Outbreak Sim, priced around $200.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

3D PUZZLE - Farm House
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$60k–$161k after Steam's cut $109k–$248k before Steam's cut
$199.99
44 reviews
Mixed
Medical SimOutbreak Sim
the office simulation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44 reviews
Mostly Positive
ComedyNarration
孙美琪疑案 第二季
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
孙美琪疑案 第三季
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5 reviews
5 user reviews
AdventurePuzzle
DREAM TIME
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$7.99
23 reviews
Positive
PuzzleSingleplayer
Darkness Ritual: Impasse
2024
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $297–$674 before Steam's cut
$1.99
12 reviews
Positive
Down is Relative
2024
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$68–$181 after Steam's cut $123–$279 before Steam's cut
$0.99
10 reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleStrategy
Where wh..?
2024
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
26 reviews
Positive
Exploration3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.