How much revenue did Panpu-ja make?

$18–$49 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Panpu-ja sell?

Q: How many copies did Panpu-ja sell?

74 to 121 copies, based on its 3 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 74–121; $18–$49 after Steam's cut $33–$76 before Steam's cut; from 3 reviews (3 user reviews); Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Panpu-ja and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Panpu-ja's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–10k

best case 23k (Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes)

Games like Panpu-ja

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–10k copies

≈ $12k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~184 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes at ≈ 18k–29k copies, ≈ $49k–$130k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 51 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 300.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Word Game (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Word Game, priced around $10.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The HeartBeat 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $777–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$0.99	115 reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkText-Based
Lingua Fleur: Lily 2019	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut	$4.99	236 reviews Very Positive	RelaxingVisual Novel
筮灵 SHILING 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut	$7.99	286 reviews Mostly Positive	Visual Novel Psychological Horror
Vain Riser 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut	$12.99	98 reviews Mostly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes 2023	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $49k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut	$9.99	712 reviews Very Positive	CasualAdventure
Dark Notes 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut	$7.99	132 reviews Mostly Positive	Puzzle Horror
孟德大小姐与自爆少年THREE KINGDOM FANTASY 2023	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before Steam's cut	$7.99	386 reviews Mixed	HistoricalVisual Novel
舔狗模拟器 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut	$4.99	118 reviews Mixed	RPGCasual