How much revenue did Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga make?

$3.4M–$9.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga sell?

Q: How many copies did Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga sell?

251k to 407k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 251k–407k; $3.4M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut; from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–4.8M

best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)

Games like Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–4.8M copies

≈ $25.7M–$56.9M after Steam's cut

from ~94k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 45k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 114k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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