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How many copies did The Wagadu Chronicles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
from 44 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Wagadu Chronicles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Wagadu Chronicles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–34k
best case 1.3M (Temtem)
Games like The Wagadu Chronicles

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–34k copies

from ~479 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Temtem at ≈ 975k–1.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 179 reviews in their first month; the range was 23 to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Combat (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Creature Collector, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Story Rich + PvE; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Familiars.io
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SteamSpy under 20k
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Creature CollectorMMORPG
洪荒:我挂机成圣
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≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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RAM Pressure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 24k–40k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Free
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Darkwind
2014
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
479 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based TacticsVehicular Combat
Stash
2017
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
679 reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerRPG
Mighty Party
2017
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCard Game
Temtem
2022
Est. copies
≈ 975k–1.6M
82x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut
$44.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Wartune Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
288 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based CombatMassively Multiplayer

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