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How many copies did The Last Windmill sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $296–$674 before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last Windmill and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Windmill's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 318–667
best case 1.2M (BlazBlue Entropy Effect)
Games like The Last Windmill

A typical game among these

≈ 318–667 copies

≈ $207–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~16 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BlazBlue Entropy Effect at ≈ 908k–1.5M copies, ≈ $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 14k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Tower Defense (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Replay Value, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Platformer + Replay Value + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Spelunky 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 545k–886k
1419x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Platformer2D Platformer
BlazBlue Entropy Effect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
2361x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
BLOOD RITE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$646–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
19 reviews
Positive
Auto BattlerTower Defense
Wild world
2021
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$142–$381 after Steam's cut $258–$586 before Steam's cut
$0.99
21 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Mind Keeper
2025
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$901–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$10.99
12 reviews
Positive
Early AccessTower Defense
Roman Empire vs. Barbarians
2023
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
$4.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionTower Defense
Ultimate Protector
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$2.99
63 reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction
Sword of the King - The Classic of Mountains and Seas
2024
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61–$164 after Steam's cut $110–$252 before Steam's cut
$0.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.