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How many copies did Temtem: Swarm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 68k–111k
$245k–$658k after Steam's cut $445k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Temtem: Swarm and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Temtem: Swarm's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 999k–5.1M
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Temtem: Swarm

A typical game among these

≈ 999k–5.1M copies

≈ $3.6M–$10.1M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Halls of Torment
2024
Est. copies
≈ 793k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$6.66
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfAction Roguelike
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike

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