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How many copies did Lucky gem sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lucky gem and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucky gem's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 162k–1.1M
best case 3.0M (Manor Lords)
Games like Lucky gem

A typical game among these

≈ 162k–1.1M copies

≈ $882k–$16.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Manor Lords at ≈ 2.3M–3.7M copies, ≈ $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (7 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$1.99
557 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleTabletop
Littlewood
2020
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$699k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsLife Sim
Timberborn
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.9M after Steam's cut $18.2M–$41.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
42k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
City BuilderVoxel
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Ostriv
2020
Est. copies
≈ 191k–310k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessStrategy
The Lost Village
2024
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$257k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$11.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Base-BuildingResource Management
Idle Business Tycoon - Build Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $297–$674 before Steam's cut
$1.99
12 reviews
Mostly Negative
SimulationIdler

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