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How many copies did Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 45k–73k
$371k–$996k after Steam's cut $674k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.1M–12.2M
best case 22.4M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)
Games like Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered

A typical game among these

≈ 8.1M–12.2M copies

≈ $101.7M–$145.4M after Steam's cut

from ~223k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.1M–27.8M copies, ≈ $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (3 of 4) and Third Person (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.1M–27.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
271k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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