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How many copies did Magical Girl Konoha sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$48k–$129k after Steam's cut $87k–$199k before Steam's cut
from 353 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magical Girl Konoha and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magical Girl Konoha's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 798k–1.2M
best case 3.3M (Mirror)
Games like Magical Girl Konoha

A typical game among these

≈ 798k–1.2M copies

≈ $6.1M–$14.7M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 555 to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and JRPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SoulWorker - Anime Action MMO
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Est. copies
≈ 414k–673k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet
2018
Est. copies
≈ 593k–963k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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AnimeRPG
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Yakuza: Like a Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Tales of Berseria™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Tales of ARISE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
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Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Phantasy Star Online 2 New Genesis
2020
Est. copies
≈ 613k–995k
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Mixed
Free to PlayCharacter Customization
Summer Memories
2020
Est. copies
≈ 625k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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