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How many copies did 9 to Die sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 9 to Die and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 9 to Die's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 628–6k
best case 261k (Echo Point Nova)
Games like 9 to Die

A typical game among these

≈ 628–6k copies

≈ $942–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~46 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Echo Point Nova at ≈ 199k–323k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 77 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (8 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Exploration + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.0x vs typical
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$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
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Echo Point Nova
2024
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
174x vs typical
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$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSShooter
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≈ 486–790
SteamSpy under 20k
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Mixed
ActionTop-Down Shooter
Dark Forest
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≈ 372–605
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Arena ShooterFPS
Voxrush
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Action RoguelikeAction
Frogmonster
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≈ 15k–25k
13x vs typical
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$19.99
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ActionAdventure

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